Carely

Impact

The measures we will be judged on

We have not run a pilot yet, so we will not quote results we do not have. What follows is the measurement plan, the dashboard a council would see, and the scenarios we would test against — all clearly illustrative.

Illustrative modelling only · not a forecast, not a promise · every figure to be replaced by measured pilot data

What the dashboard shows

Six measures, chosen because they are the ones a Director of Adult Social Services is already accountable for. Nothing here is a vanity metric.

  • Time to first response < 1 hr 24/7, any channel
  • Triage within 24 hours 92% target ≥ 90%
  • Contact-to-assessment −22% median days vs baseline
  • AI draft acceptance 84% target ≥ 80%
  • Carer assessment offer rate 96% offered by default
  • Cost per assessment −11% agency and OT spend avoided

Targets shown are the design targets the pilot would be measured against, not achieved results.

The evidence

Three views of the same question

ConservativeBaseOptimistic274563Admin hours released224568Agency and OT avoided60120180Complaint handling51015Throughput uplift
Benefits by scenario — conservative, base and optimistic. Illustrative.
84% drafts accepted
Share of Aria's assessment drafts accepted, or accepted with minor edits, by practitioners.
16202428M1M2M3M4M5M6M7dashed: baseline · solid: pilot
Median days from contact to assessment, baseline compared with pilot.

The arithmetic

What the benefit could be worth

Per council, per year, at the scale of a mid-sized authority. These are modelled scenarios for a pilot business case — they are not results, and we will publish the measured figures alongside them when we have them.

Illustrative benefits by scenario
Benefit lineConservativeBaseOptimistic
Practitioner admin hours released2,700 h4,500 h6,300 h
Value of released hours (£38/hr)£102,600£171,000£239,400
Avoided agency and OT spend£22,500£45,000£67,500
Reduced complaint handling£60,000£120,000£180,000
Total quantified (illustrative)~£185k~£336k~£487k

Assumptions: released practitioner hours valued at £38/hour; benefit only counted where the front door changes the volume or timeliness of work. A council-specific model is built with your finance team during a pilot scoping exercise.

Honesty

The dis-benefits, named

Every honest business case has a column that says what gets worse. Ours would include the following, and a pilot would be designed to test them.

  • New work at the front door. Making it easy to ask will increase the volume of enquiries. That is the point — but it needs staffing.
  • Practitioner time on verification. Drafts must be checked. If acceptance rates fall, the time saving disappears.
  • Digital exclusion. Some people will not use a conversation interface, and must be routed to a human without friction.
  • Governance overhead. A model in a statutory service needs assurance, audit and incident handling — real staff time, not a footnote.
  • Change fatigue. Another system, however good, is another system, unless it replaces work rather than adding it.

If a pilot shows the dis-benefits outweighing the benefits, we would rather publish that than sell you a second year.

Assurance

How we would measure it

A baseline, agreed first

Response times, triage volumes, contact-to-assessment days, complaint rates and cost per assessment — agreed with your BI team before anything changes.

A control cohort

Where volume allows, run the front door alongside the current route so the comparison is real rather than before-and-after.

Published results

A joint report at the end of the pilot, including the measures that did not improve. We would rather be held to that than to a slide.

Indicative programme plan for a Carely.care pilot, from discovery and design through pilot delivery to evaluation
An indicative pilot timeline. The detail sits in the programme plan we share with a founding partner.

Build the business case with us

Bring your baseline numbers and we will model the scenarios for your authority — including the ones that do not flatter us.

Talk to the team